Why BAJAJ-AUTO Share Price Plunged -1.04% Today? Analysis & Key Levels

BAJAJ-AUTO is making significant moves on Dalal Street, with the stock plunging -1.04% to trade at ₹8921.0 today.

⚡ The Trigger: What Drove the Move Today?

The downward pressure on BAJAJ-AUTO today appears to be a confluence of geopolitical headwinds and sector-specific weakness. The primary trigger hitting the wires on December 15, 2025, is the looming threat of Mexico’s proposed tariff hikes. According to market reports, brokerage firm JM Financial issued a warning that Indian auto and auto-component manufacturers could be significantly exposed to this new tariff regime, dampening sentiment across the entire Nifty Auto index, which fell approximately 0.9%.

This geopolitical anxiety is compounding existing concerns regarding Bajaj Auto’s competitive positioning in the Electric Vehicle (EV) segment. Recent data for November 2025 highlighted that TVS Motor Company has overtaken Bajaj Auto in EV retail sales, pushing Bajaj to the second spot. The market is pricing in the risk that Bajaj’s “Chetak” franchise is losing momentum against aggressive peers. Consequently, despite no specific company filing being released today, the stock succumbed to the broader “risk-off” sentiment in the auto sector, exacerbated by foreign fund outflows and the tariff scare.

📉 Technical Setup & Key Levels

Technically, BAJAJ-AUTO has breached the critical psychological support of ₹9,000, a level that had previously acted as a floor for the stock. The price action indicates a bearish breakdown, with the stock now trading below its short-term moving averages (20-day and 50-day EMAs). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending lower towards the oversold territory but hasn’t reached extremes yet, suggesting there could be further room for downside before a mean reversion occurs.

The failure to sustain above ₹9,000 has emboldened bears, and significant call writing at the ₹9,000 and ₹9,100 strikes confirms that the upside is capped in the immediate term.

Level	Price (₹)	Significance
Immediate Resistance	9,015	Previous close & Psychological breakdown point
Immediate Support	8,850	Recent swing low support zone
Key Resistance	9,100	Major Call Option concentration (OI Wall)
Key Support	8,720	200-Day Moving Average / Structural Demand Zone

🆚 Peer Comparison

While the entire auto sector faced headwinds today, the divergence in performance is notable when compared to TVS Motor Company.

• BAJAJ-AUTO: Down -1.04%, trading at ₹8921.0. The stock is struggling with the narrative of losing EV market share and export tariff fears.
• TVS Motor: Showed relative resilience, trading flat to marginally negative. Investors are favoring TVS due to its recent reclaiming of the top spot in EV two-wheeler sales for November 2025, demonstrating better growth momentum despite the broader sector drag.
• Sector Context: The Nifty Auto index itself was down ~0.9%, indicating that Bajaj Auto’s fall is slightly sharper than the sector average, reflecting specific underperformance.

🎯 Analyst Verdict (Intraday/Swing Setup)

Momentum-X Algo Outlook: Bearish Bias.

The setup for BAJAJ-AUTO remains fragile. The decisive close below the ₹9,000 mark is a technical red flag. Traders should monitor for a sustained break below ₹8,850; if this level gives way, it could trigger a sharper liquidation towards the ₹8,720 zone.

Conversely, any bounce towards ₹8,980-₹9,000 should be viewed with caution as it is likely to face heavy supply. A “Buy” setup is currently not active until the stock reclaims ₹9,100 with strong volume. The immediate strategy favors fading rallies rather than catching the falling knife.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any trading decisions.